Hobart, Sunday 12 January
Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Hobart 12th January
We head to Hobart for a feature night of racing which includes the New Norfolk Cup and the Hobart Pacing Cup for the open class performers both races promise to be cracker’s
Lets find some winners I think Lets go Lucylou can get us off to a good start in race one.
Southpaw Slugger finds the perfect race to get into the winners list.
Mickey Oh and The Shallows look a good way to play the Hobart Pacing Cup.
Out of Eden can continue her great form and send punters home on a winning note.
Major Lester is the best at odds in race six.
RACE 1: 12:54pm Tasmanian Horse Transport Pace 2090m
The first at of the night is for the 3yo and older pacers. LETS GO LUCYYLOU (4) will enjoy this easier assignment and only needs to run up to her recent form to be the hardest to beat. SPOT RULER (5) is a handy mare and can do it tough in her races so looks for her to push forward and if found the top her chances are enhanced. ART HUNTSMAN (6) resumes for the mew stable so is a query as has always promised to have a better record than he has. KOSYGIN LEIS (2) and MAGIC PEBBLES (3) are a couple that will be around the placings.
TOP PICK: Lets Go Lucylou (4) just leaning her way.
DANGERS: Spot Ruler (5) is the danger along with Kosygin Leis (2).
ROUGHIE: Art Huntsman (6) is the query at odds.
RATINGS: 4 5-2 6-3-1
SUGGESTED BET: Lets Go Lucylou 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4 5-4 5-2 6 $20 flexi 500%
LIKELY LEADER: Spot Ruler will be looking to work across early.
RACE 2: 13:31pm Prydes Easifeed Pace 2090m
This is for the 58-563 rated pacers where DRESSED IN GOLD (8) creates plenty of interest. His recent form looks well up to this so being the lone runner on the second line will take plenty of beating. IDEN LADY LINCOLN (4) lost her chance when missed away so can bounce back as will look to get up on speed early. YARECKON IM SWEET (1) grows a leg in front so will look to hold up but the question will be how much pressure she cops. ONEHANDONEBOUNCE (7) draws wide so will go back and look to pinch ones so can run into a placing along with JEREMY WELLS (5) at odds who will strip fitter.
TOP PICK: Iden Lady Lincoln (4) can bounce back.
DANGERS: Dressed in Gold (8) is the danger along with Yareckon Im Sweet (1).
ROUGHIE: Jeremy Wells (6) can place at odds.
RATINGS: 4-1 7 8-2 3 5-6
SUGGESTED BET: Iden Lady Lincoln 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-1 8-1 2 3 5 7 8 $20 flexi 200% - 4-1 2 3 5 7 8-1 8 $15 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Yareckon im Sweet will look to hold them early.
RACE 3: 14:06pm Fehlbergs Produce Sprintlane Pace 1609m
This is for the up to 49 rated pacers. MARTYR (2) has created a good impression in his two wins in the State and looks like finding the top and should prove too classy. SUE NIEN (3) has been consistent and gets the draw to fill a placing again. SERIOUSLY SAM (1) should lob leaders back so can place over the short trip. TASHS MATE (10) will get a cheap run just behind them so is a must for the exotics along with STRAWBERRY BLING (4), ROCK ON PLAYBOY (11) and KIAVINO STRIDE (12) who are capable with the right trips.
TOP PICK: Martyr (2) should be winning.
DANGERS: Sue Nien (3) is a danger along with Seriously Sam (1).
ROUGHIE: Strawberry Bling (4) is a value hope.
RATINGS: 2-1 3 4 10 11 12-6 7 8 13-5
SUGGESTED BET: Martyr 8units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2-1 3-1 3 4 10 11 12 $25 flexi 250%
LIKELY LEADER: Martyr should be leading.
RACE 4: 14:41pm Thomas “Tommy” Jackson Memorial 2090m
This is for the maiden pacers OUR WILLOW (2) has early speed so will look to find the top and will take running down. MILLYCENT (11) is working up to a win as long as gets a three wide cart into the race can get over the of her rivals. PARTY BLAZE (1) will be the improver off the pole so look for her to get up the sprint lane late. PHLOW JO (13) draws out the back but if can repeat her first up run can figure. ROCK AMOUR (3), PLATONIC MISS (8), RESURGENT HUNGER (9) are a trio that can run into a minor placing.
TOP PICK: Millycent (11) will take holding out.
DANGERS: Our Willow (2) is the danger along with Party Blaze (1).
ROUGHIE: Platonic Miss (8) can improve at odds.
RATINGS: 11-1 2 3-8 9 10 13-4 5 6 7
SUGGESTED BET: Millycent 2units win – Platonic Miss 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 11-1 2 3-1 2 3 8 9 10 13 $18 flexi 100% - 11-1 2 3 8 9 10 13-1 2 3 $18 flexi
LIKELY LEADER: Our Willow will be looking to cross Party Blaze early.
RACE 5: 15:17pm Morey’s Sports & Music Tours Pace 2090m
This is for the 50-53 pacers and Victorian SOUTHPAW SLUGGER (1) looks hard to beat as should lead or sit leaders back so is worth a few coins. NO NUKES SKIPPER (2) was better last time and if happens to find the front his chances will be enhanced. CINOCAL JAMANE (11) will be hoping they run along up front as will get her chance late to figure. KERALA STAR (6) has been mixing his form and his best is good enough to give some cheek with the same to be said about REMEMBER ME NOW (3), DEBT TILL WE PART (7), COLBY ART (10) and GEMAEDEE (12) who can run into a minor placing at odds.
TOP PICK: Southpaw Slugger (1) looks the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: No Nukes Skipper (2) is a danger along Kerala Star (6).
ROUGHIE: Colby Art (10) can run into a placing at odds.
RATINGS: 1-2 6 11-3 7 10 12-5 8 9
SUGGESTED BET: Southpaw Slugger 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 3 6 7 10 11 12-2 3 6 7 10 11 12 $21 Flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Southpaw Slugger will look to hold No Nukes Skipper and Remember Me Now early.
RACE 6: 15:59pm Paul Belcher @Roberts Real Estate New Norfolk Cup (Grass) 2000m
This is the New Norfolk Cup that is run on the grass track so is always a competitive affair. HAZEWILLREV (9) resumes his 4yo season and he has the ability to take this out if he brings his best. JORGE STREET (6) was dominant winning last week but going to the grass and from behind the tapes is a query but if steps will be a player. HAMMER DAN (1) was impressive at first local run so if he steps early he can figure. MAJOR LESTER (4) was a good winner last time and that could give him the confidence to be in the finish again. WE SALUTE YOU (7), IMPULZE (8) IDEN BLACK PRINCE (10) and SHARKATTACK (14) will need the breaks to come their but if they do wouldn’t entirely shock.
TOP PICK: Hazewillrev (9) is the one they have to beat.
DANGERS: Jorje Street (6) looks the danger along with Hammer Dan (1).
ROUGHIE: Major Lester (4) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 9-1 4 6-7 8 10 12 14-2 3 5 11 13
SUGGESTED BET: Hazewillrev 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 9-1 4 6 7 8 10 12 14-1 4 6 7 8 10 12 14 $42 flexi 75%
LIKELY LEADER: Hammer Dan will look to step to the lead from Major Lester and Jorje Street.
RACE 7: 16:32pm Ladbrokes Hobart Pacing Cup 2579m
Here we have the feature the Hobart Pacing Cup and brings together a handy field. GLENLEDI ELVIS (2) hasn’t had much go right of late and gets a better draw here so can make his own luck and take plenty of holding out. MICKEY OH (1) returned with a great effort and should only be fitter so from the pole should get every possible. HOT DEAL (4) comes across from Victoria for Ryan Backhouse. He is a quality type who can do work in his races so can win. THE SHALLOWS (6) has returned in sparkling form which is a credit to his trainer Heath Woods so despite the draw can figure. STEPPING STONES (9), MISS PAOENHUYZEN (10), COOL WATER PADDY (11), MAGNETIC TERROR (12) and THE CROUPIER (13) are all capable with the right trips so are a must for the wider exotic players.
TOP PICK: Mickey Oh (1) just leaning his way.
DANGERS: Glenledi Elvis (2) is the danger along with Hot Deal (4).
ROUGHIE: The Shallows (6) will be double figures again and can win with some luck.
RATINGS: 1-2 4 6-9 10 11 12 13-4 5 8
SUGGESTED BET: Mickey Oh 2units win- The Shallows 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1 6-1 2 4 6-1 2 4 6 9 10 11 12 13- $36 75% - 1 6-1 2 4 6 9 10 11 12 13- 1 2 4 6 $24 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Mockey Oh will be looking to hold Hot Deal and Glenledi Elvis early.
RACE 8: 17:16pm Cavalor Equicafre Pace 1609m
This is for the 54-57 rated pacers where WATCH THIS HAPPEN (1) is looking to make four out of his last five for trainer Claire MacDonald so from the pole he should get every chance. Stablemate EINSTEIN (2) could make a play for the early lead and if crosses his chances are enhanced. FIVE STAR SHARK (5) will have a crack at getting across early as if he does can give some cheek. DONNY IN PARIS (7), GOBSMACKED (9) and SHARMEY (10) are a trio to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Watch this Happen (1) should win again
DANGERS: Einstein (2) is the danger along with Five Star Shark (5).
ROUGHIE: Donny in Paris (7) can bob up at odds.
RATINGS: 1-2 5 7-3 9 10-4 6 8
SUGGESTED BET: Watch this Happen 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 5 7-2 3 5 7 9 10 $30 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Watch This Happen and Enstein will be looking to settle up front.
RACE 9: 17:50pm Smithawards Pace 1609m
The last of the night is for the 64-74 rated pacers and inform mare OUT OF EDEN (1) draws ideally which gives her options so should be taking care of business. MR BONDI (3) creates plenty of interest as brings handy riverine form and draws well so will be well supported. ANOTHER NIEN (5) is similar as comes across from Victoria and he is versatile so look for him to be getting home hard. JO AN JO (2) and LYNRYD SKYNRYD (7) are both capable if the breaks come their way so include.
TOP PICK: Out of Eden (1) will be winning.
DANGERS: Mr Bondi (3) is the danger along with Anogther Nien (5).
ROUGHIE: Jo an Jo (2) can bob up at odds.
RATINGS: 1-2 3 5 7-4 6 8 9
SUGGESTED BET: Out of Eden 5units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 3 5 7-2 3 5 7 $30 flexi 250%
LIKELY LEADER: Mr Bondi will look to work across Out of Eden early.
