Launceston, Sunday 28 July
Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Launceston 28th July
We head to Launceston on Sunday evening for a tricky eight event card where the best of the night comes up in race five by the way of the Troy Hillier trained Didyalousaroosta who should be too good for his rivals.
Horrie Otara is racing well and only needs to bring his current form to be winning race six.
Better Exclusive is stepping up in grade but is worth a play in the last of the night.
The best at odds comes up in race seven being Botany Bay Warrior.
RACE 1: 17:17pm Ladbrokes Odds Surge Pace 2200m
The first of the night is for the 53-59 rated pacers and we see the smart 3yo filly HY ON A HILL (1) taking on more seasoned performers. She draws the pole which helps as has options early so should get every chance and is the one to beat at the right price. EINSTEIN (2) will find this easier and also gets the draw to get his chance to get back into the winners list. MACH ANGELO (5) is racing well and is versatile so will be making his presence felt at the business end. IM ROCK SOLID (3) and MONTANA LAD (6) both come of a freshen up but at their best would be right in the thick of things. SHARMEY (4) rounds out the field and could improve especially if finds the early lead.
TOP PICK: Hy On A Hill (1) looks the one to beat.
DANGERS: Einstein (2) is the danger along with Mach Angelo (5).
ROUGHIE: Im Rock Solid (3) looks the value runner
RATINGS: 1-2 3 5-4 6
SUGGESTED BET: Einstein 2units win at the value
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1 2-1 2-3 5 $20 flexi 500% - 1 2-3 5-1 2 $12 flexi 300%
LIKELY LEADER: Sharmey will have a good look early to get across Hy On A Hill.
RACE 2: 17:49pm Launceston Belmont 1680m
This is for the 2yo fillies and the consistent GRIMSHAW BAY (2) will be looking to breakthrough. She has been close up of late and looks well placed from the draw so will take plenty of getting past. PIROTIC (7) is a well bred debutante who did look good in a recent trial so despite drawing wide looks a major player. ISLA ATHENA (9) was only fair last week but will find this a little easier so keep safe. EBONYS POSTER (4) and TULLAH GIRL (6) are another couple on debut who have trailed ok so if we see a positive market move for either will pay to keep safe. ARK MELODY (5) will find this easier than her first up run so can improve.
TOP PICK: Grimshaw Bay (2) this is her best chance to win.
DANGERS: Pirotic (7) looks the danger along with Isla Athena (9).
ROUGHIE: Ebonys Poster (4) can give a sight at odds.
RATINGS: 1-7 9-4 5 6-1 3 8
SUGGESTED BET: Grimshaw Bay 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2-4 5 6 7 9-4 5 6 7 9 $20 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Grimshaw Bay will be looking to work across early.
RACE 3: 18:25pm Find Us On Facebook Pace 2200m
This is for pacers with no more than four lifetime wins. JAMES IN CHARGE (7) has created a good impression in his two local runs to date and despite drawing wide he can make it a winning hat-trick. MADDIS TIGER (3) was impressive first up and should be better for the outing and from the draw will be a huge danger. MAGIC JOE (6) was unlucky last time so along as he has clear running he will be making his presence felt. SWIMINTHERIVER (4) can mix his form but if brings his best is capable so include for the exotic placings along with FIESTA STRIDE (1).
TOP PICK: James In Charge (7) is the one they have to beat.
DANGERS: Maddis Tiger (3) is the danger along with Magic Joe (6).
ROUGHIE: Swimintheriver (4) can improve.
RATINGS: 7-3 6-1 4 8-2 5
SUGGESTED BET: James In Charge 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 7-3 6-3 6 $20 flexi 1000% - First Four 7-3 6-3 6-1 4 8 $12 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Swimintheriver and Fiesta Stride will be looking to settle up front.
RACE 4: 18:57pm Nutrien Ag Supplies Stakes 2200m
Here we have a race for the 70-79 rated pacers ROYAL APPOINTMENT (8) is racing at the peak of his powers and this is slightly tougher but has drawn to push through and will be close enough to get his chance to get over the top late. KIVIK (5) will appreciate this easier assignment and he does have options early so will be in the finish. KUZMA (2) has been thereabouts of late and gets the draw to get the run he likes so include along with COLBY SANZ (4) and JEREMY WELLS (6) who wouldn’t shock. HIGHWAY TO HEAVEN (1) has been disappointing but gets the draw to improve.
TOP PICK: Royal Appointment (8) happy to stick with him
DANGERS: Kivik (5) is a huge danger along with Kuzma (2).
ROUGHIE: Colby Sanz (4) looks the value runner.
RATINGS: 5 8-2 3 4 6- 17
SUGGESTED BET: Royal Appointment 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 5 8-5 8-2 3 4 6 $24 flexi 300% - 5 8-2 3 4 6-5 8 $16 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Kivik could cross if they want but Highway to Heaven will be looking to also push through.
RACE 5: 19:38pm Stacey Lear Photography Stakes 2200m
This is for the 3yo and older and with no more than two lifetime wins. DIDYALOUSAROOSTA (4) is a nice type who will be fitter for his first up run so look for him to push forward and find the top and from there is clearly the one they have to beat. MOVESLIKEALADY (3) draws to his inside which should see her settle handy and she has the ability to test him if she brings her best so is the danger. NORBET (2), MORE THAN THIS (5), MEMPHIS (6), SCRUB BASHER (9) and THUNDER SANZ (11) all are capable if the breaks come their way so are a must for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Didyalousaroosta (4) looks the one to beat.
DANGERS: Moveslikealady (3) is the danger along with More than This (5).
ROUGHIE: Norbet (2) has the draw to give some cheek at odds.
RATINGS: 4-3-2 5 6 9 11-1 7-8 10
SUGGESTED BET: Disyalousaroosta 5units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-3-2 5 6 9 11 $25 flexi 500% - 4-2 5 6 9 11-3 $15 flexi 300%
LIKELY LEADER: Didyalousaroosta looks the leader.
RACE 6: 20:19pm Become An LPC Member Pace 2200m
This is a race for the up to 45 pacers and the inform HORRIE OTARA (4) looks very hard to beat. He has options as has the speed to push forward or slot in for cover either way is the one to beat. SWEET AMOUR (5) out battled her rivals last week so if brings that form is a danger. SIR ROMAN (6) will be fitter for his first up effort so despite the draw will be making his presence felt. CLASSY COUNTESS (3), TAXI METER (8), CINOCAL JAMANE (9) and MACHS MARETA (10) are a quartet who do bob up occasionally so wouldn’t entirely shock. HAVAHH NICE DAY (2) comes down from the Riverina for trainer Leigh Rand and does draw well so look for a market push as a better guide to her chances.
TOP PICK: Horrie Otara (4) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Sweet Amour (5) is a danger along with Havahh Nice Day (2).
ROUGHIE: Machs Mareta (10) has a chance.
RATINGS: 4-2 3 5 6 8 9 10-1 7 11
SUGGESTED BET: Horrie Otara 3units wn
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-2 3 5 6 8 9 10-2 3 5 6 8 9 10 $21 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Horrie Otara will push forward with Havahh Nice Day the query for gate speed.
RACE 7: 20:51pm Ladbrokes Bet Ticker Stakes 2200m
This is for the 46-52 rated pacers and looks an even field. MY ULTIMATE ROMEO (9) had no luck last week when never seen daylight so from his trailing draw should push through early and get his chance late. GYPSY AMOUR (2) was ok last week and this is easier so if she can bully her way to the lead she can give some cheek. HURRICANE ROCK (4) has been close up of late and will be again with the right trip. JUST FOLLOW ME (1), BOTANY BAY WARRIOR (3), LAID BACK KENNY (6) and RANIERI (11) are a quartet to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: My Ultimate Romeo (9) looks the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Sweet Amour (2) is the danger along with Hurricane Rock (4).
ROUGHIE: Botany Bay Warrior (3) is the value runner.
RATINGS: 9-2 3 4-1 6 7 8 10-5
SUGGESTED BET: My Ultimate Romeo 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 9-1 2 3 4 6 10-1 2 3 4 6 10 $30 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Gypsy Amour and Botany Bay Warrior will be looking to work across Just Follow Me early.
RACE 8 21:20pm Ladbrokes Communities Pace 1680m
The last of the night is for the 60-69 rated pacers and looks a competitive race. ART HUNTSMAN (1) comes off a freshen up when raced below his best so from the pole will be looking to bounce back over the sprint trip. BETTER EXCLUSIVE (5) is racing well and another win is close so with a bit of luck early can win. CRACK THE VAULT (3) is always thereabouts and will be again from the draw so has a chance. MUCHO MOVER (2), ARDEN ROANOKE (8), LOYOLA TRIOS (9). MISTA EAGLE (10) and WE SALUTE YOU (11) are all capable of getting into some of the minor money so are must for the exotic players to include.
TOP PICK: Better Exclusive (5) looks hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Art Huntsman (1) is the huge danger along with Crack the Vault (3).
ROUGHIE: Arden Roanoke (8) draws to improve at odds.
RATINGS: 1 5-2 3 8 9 10 11-4 6 7
SUGGESTED BET: Better Exclusive 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1 5-1 5-2 3 7 8 9 10 11 $21 flexi 150% - 1 5-2 3 7 8 9 10 11-1 5 $21 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Art Huntsman will be looking to hold them early.
