Ballarat, Thursday 21 November
Form Analysis by Rob Auber
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: LIKABLE ROGUE (7) has been in amazing form having won his past four starts. He finished off strongly to win last start and will need to do the same here from a wide draw. In form and can run well again despite the challenging draw. SOMEJOYFUL (8) didn’t enjoy the best of luck last start and finished off strongly late. Drawn to follow speed and just needs to find an opening late to be storming home late. HURRIKANE DUSTY (1) going well and does have early speed and drawn ideally. Can give a big sight. SENNA STORM (11) nice win last start but faces a tough draw to overcome here. Chance again. BUS STOP (4) can begin well and race handy and is amongst the chances. WICHITA KANSAS (5) resumes here and does have ability. Has trialled nicely for a first up showing. FLYING SPARKS (10) resumes with four trials leading into this and is very capable if right, for a first up showing? PICTURE US ROLLIN (6) lightly raced, going well but faces a tricky draw. JILLIBY TYPHOON (9) MR TEDDY (2) and YANKEE GAMBLER (3) are never far away and are amongst the place and first four chances.
EARLY SPEED: 1,4
SELECTIONS: LIKABLE ROGUE (7) SOMEJOYFUL (8) HURRIKANE DUSTY (1) SENNA STORM (11)
RATINGS: 7/ 8/ 1/ 11/ 4/ 5/ 6/ 10/ 9/ 2/ 3
SUGGESTED BET: Box Quinella 1,7,8,11
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: RUDY GEE (5) 3yo that resumes from a break and did chase hoe some quality horses prior to the spell. Expect a big showing fresh. DENNY (6) hasn’t started since June and didn’t really fire at his first three Australian starts. Break may have benefited him and expect a forward showing fresh. CARRAMAR OLAM (4) honest type that rarely runs a poor race. Drawn favourably and will be in it for a long way. BIZZNESS CLASS (9) gets a nice trailing draw and does have a big finish. Must be respected. HUNGRY HOGARTH (1) will strip fitter for his first up run and draws ideally. Can improve here. WOTDIDUSAAY (10) worked too hard last start and didn’t finish off. Has claims along with BANKSOFTHEMURRAY (7) that has drawn wide whilst SILVER MYSTIQUE (2) OUTBACK QUEENIE (3) BAKER CREEK (8) have place and first four claims.
EARLY SPEED: 1,4,5,6
SELECTIONS: RUDY GEE (5) DENNY (6) CARRAMAR OLAM (4) BIZZNESS CLASS (9)
RATINGS: 5/ 6/ 4/ 9/ 1/ 10/ 7/ 2/ 3/ 8
SUGGESTED BET: RUDY GEE (5) to Win.
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: AMERICAN VICTORY (8) hard to believe she hasn’t won a race yet and doesn’t have much go her way to date. Tricky draw to overcome and just needs some luck to go her way. Hard to hold out. DANCINGONSTARLIGHT (4) continues to tease without winning and gets another chance here. Must include. ANGEL OF ANGER (10) good effort last start when runner up after leading. Needs to overcome a second row draw here but must be respected. MIDNIGHT DANCER (6) disappointed last start but her prior form was solid for a race of this class. EMER (9) ran on well last start and has claims. MEGWATTS (7) CITYSIREN (1) NOTHING SWEETER (2) SNAZOLA (3) MY BAD (5) all have place and first four claims.
EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3,4
SELECTIONS: AMERICAN VICTORY (8) DANCINGONSTARLIGHT (4) ANGEL OF ANGER (10) MIDNIGHT DANCER (6)
RATINGS: 8/ 4/ 10/ 6/ 9/ 7/ 1/ 2/ 3/ 5
SUGGESTED BET: AMERICAN VICTORY (8) to Win.
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: KIMCHI (11) does have a good record when racing in this class and despite the tough draw looks hard to hold out. ITZOK TO ROCK (5) was running on well late last start and suited in this. Definite chance. ETIZ AMODEL (4) hasn’t been far away and draws favourably. Can run well here. SEA HAWKE (7) improved run last start when second up. Fitter again and can improve further here. ONE OFF (10) will find this easier than recent starts and can be an improver here. ASHARAH (6) should be doing her best work late and can’t be left out. IMAGOLDCLOUD (1) ALOOK TO LIKE (2) SILVER DOMINO (9) MILLYS PRINCE (3) are amongst the place and first four chances.
EARLY SPEED: 1,4
SELECTIONS: KIMCHI (11) ITZOK TO ROCK (5) ETIZ AMODEL (4) SEA HAWKE (7)
RATINGS: 11/ 5/ 4/ 7/ 6/ 1/ /2/ 9/ 3
SUGGESTED BET: Box Quinella 4,5,7,11
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: MY WAY (2) freshened up since his last run and was racing well with multiple placings. Drawn well and expect a forward showing. KATUNGA EXPRESS (8) top effort last start and is ready to win! Just needs an ounce of luck of luck and will be hard to hold out. CHEYS ANGEL (6) had no luck last start and was a winner three starts ago. Shows ability and is one of the main chances here. FREAK OUT (5) wasn’t far away last start and can settle handy from the front line. Chance. MY DARLING DANCER (9) three runs back from a long spell should have her primed and expect further improvement here. Has claims. ASHANTE PRINCE (10) a winner two starts ago and did things wrong last start. Worthy of another chance. ERNIELOVENBOY (3) REIGN EM IN (4) YURUGA LASS (7) ORCH (1) are first four hopes.
EARLY SPEED: 2,4,5
SELECTIONS: MY WAY (2) KATUNGA EXPRESS (8) FREAK OUT (5) MY DARLING DANCER (9)
RATINGS: 2/ 8/ 5/ 9/ 6/ 10/ 3/ 4/ 7/ 1
SUGGESTED BET: Box Quinella 2,5,8,9
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: THE SKY IS THE LIMIT (9) capable mare that did things wrong two starts ago and raced wide last start, but her prior form was excellent. Gets a nice trailing draw here and can fight out the finish. MY HIGH PEAK (5) talented trotter that always gives his best. Drawn well and can race forward and is one of the main chances. FLOATING MOUNTAIN (1) drawn ideally for recent Breeders Crown winning trainer Graeme Whittle and is sure to run an honest race. MIELICKI (8) races well at this track and will be running home late along with NOBLE COUNT (7) a winner two starts ago and found trouble last start. SCAR (2) ALFIE ALWAYS (3) and ROMANTIC NINA (4) have nice draws and should be well placed throughout and must be respected.
EARLY SPEED: 2,3,4,5
SELECTIONS: THE SKY IS THE LIMIT (9) MY HIGH PEAK (5) FLOATING MOUNTAIN (1) MIELICKI (8)
RATINGS: 9/ 5/ 1/ 8/ 7/ 2/ 3/ 4
SUGGESTED BET: THE SKY IS THE LIMIT (9) to Win.
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: TALLULAH LEE (4) resumed with a nice easy win and strips further fitter here. Expect a strong showing again. BUSLOAD OF FAITH (1) is going better than his figure form reads and draws ideally to get every chance. Can improve here. AXE AND DEEZ (2) first up and has trialled well recently. One of the main chances. BOLRAMSKI (7) started favourite when first up and was runner up. Draws wide but will be running on late. PLAINS IN HEAVEN (8) IM WESLEY (3) ROCKETS MATE (5) KHANS CREED (6) all have good ability and must be considered as place and first four hopes.
EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3,4
SELECTIONS: TALLULAH LEE (4) BUSLOAD OF FAITH (1) AXE AND DEEZ (2) BOLRAMSKI (7)
RATINGS: 4/ 1/ 2/ 7/ 8/ 3/ 5/ 6
SUGGESTED BET: Box Quinella 1,2,4
Race 8:
OVERVIEW: SHADY DANCER (5) speedy mare that races well in this class and is a fast beginner and can give a big sight. THE DEMOCRAT (2) a last start winner that won well last start and draws ideally and can give a big showing again. MY BUCKS NIGHT (8) much improved run last start and might be on the improve. Must be respected. JEREMY LOU (4) capable pacer when right, change of stables and a big showing would not shock. OUR KINKY BOOTS (6) ran well when first up, strips fitter and can keep improving. THE REGULATOR (1) PRESIDENTIALCHANGE (3) MY GREAT EIGHT (7) are first four hopes.
EARLY SPEED: 1,2,4,5,6
SELECTIONS: SHADY DANCER (5) THE DEMOCRAT (2) MY BUCKS NIGHT (8) JEREMY LOU (4)
RATINGS: 5/ 2/ 8/ 4/ 6/ 1/ 3/ 7
SUGGESTED BET: Box First Four 2,4,5,6,8
